Earlier this year, Jul-15 to be exact, I estimated that I would have to ride 1,557.4 miles at 16.5 mph to get my average pace for this year up to the same average pace (16.055 mph) I managed for all of last year.
http://irregularveloadventures.blogspot.com/2009/07/jul-15.html
Today, I estimate that I would have to ride a further 2,703.5 miles at 16.5 mph to get my average pace for this year up to 16.06 mph.
I also estimate that if I have a good ride tomorrow, 126.4 miles @ avg 15.4 mph, I will then need to ride 2,917.0 miles at 16.5 mph to get my avg pace for this year up to 16.05 mph. Put another way, I would have to ride a 38.9 mile "time-trial" every day for the last 75 days of the year to get those kind of miles at that pace.
Bye-bye to the goal of riding, on average, faster this year than last.
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